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Data Smoothing and Spurious Correlation

Allan Macrae has posted an interesting study at ICECAP. In the study he argues that the changes in temperature (tropospheric and surface) precede the changes in atmospheric CO2 by nine months. Thus, he...

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When Good Proxies Go Bad

Many of the good folks who write the papers and keep the databases seem not to use their naked eyeballs. By that I mean, they seriously think that you can invent some new procedure, and then apply it...

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Can’t See the Signal For the Trees

ABSTRACT: A new method is proposed for determining if a group of datasets contain a signal in common. The method, which I call Correlation Distribution Analysis (CDA), is shown to be able to detect...

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A New Metric for Amplification

ABSTRACT: A new method is proposed for exploring the amplification of the atmosphere with respect to the surface. The method, which I call “temporal evolution”, is shown to reveal the change in...

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